Macron Faces Political Turmoil as Far-Right Gains Ground
In a dramatic turn of events, President Emmanuel Macron is grappling with a political crisis following the second round of France's historic legislative elections. The National Regrouping (RG), formerly known as the National Front, has made significant gains, although it is unlikely to secure an absolute majority in the National Assembly. This election has seen an unprecedented level of participation, with a record 26.63 percent turnout by noon.
Macron expressed a mix of defiance and self-satisfaction in a speech at the Élysée, emphasizing that his ideas still resonate with many voters. 'Our ideas continue to be there and have no fewer voters,' he stated. Gabriel Attal, the Prime Minister, echoed this sentiment, celebrating the election of three times more deputies from the central bloc than anticipated.
Fear of Violence and Political Chaos
The atmosphere in France is tense, with fears of violence looming large. The government has deployed 30,000 police officers nationwide, including 5,000 in Paris, to prevent potential riots and looting. Businesses and banks in major cities like Paris, Lyon, and Grenoble have been boarded up as a precaution. The election campaign has been marred by xenophobic violence and attacks on minorities, primarily attributed to RG militants.
Despite the gains, RG is not expected to achieve the 289 seats required for an absolute majority. Polls suggest they will secure between 175 and 205 seats, while the Republican Front is projected to win between 145 and 175 seats. This fragmented result could lead to a parliamentary stalemate, with Macron's centrist coalition expected to be significantly weakened, holding a maximum of 148 seats.
Prominent politicians have already cast their votes, including Macron and his wife Brigitte in Le Touquet, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe in Le Havre, and former President Francois Hollande in Correze. Marine Le Pen, whose district did not require a second round, has not voted today.
The election has sparked intense family debates across France, reflecting the deep political divides. In Paris, families have been torn apart over support for RG, with older generations often backing the far-right while younger members oppose it vehemently. The RG has softened some of its positions but still plans to implement controversial policies such as reducing immigration and banning dual nationals from certain state jobs.
The outcome of this election could plunge France into prolonged political uncertainty. Macron and his advisers are contemplating forming a broad coalition, excluding the far-right and far-left, or perhaps establishing a technocratic government. The election result risks destabilizing France, a key player in the EU and NATO, and could lead to early presidential elections before 2027.