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Libya Floods: How Cosmic Rays Intensified the Disaster

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A recent study reveals that cosmic rays significantly contributed to the catastrophic floods in Libya, highlighting their role in extreme weather events and the need for better forecasting models.


Understanding the Role of Cosmic Rays in Libya's Catastrophic Floods

In September 2023, Libya experienced unprecedented flooding that led to the collapse of two dams, particularly devastating the city of Derna. Recent research has unveiled a surprising factor contributing to this extreme weather event: cosmic rays. These high-energy particles, originating from outside our solar system, interact with the Earth's atmosphere and influence weather patterns significantly. A study published in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics by a team from the Federal Rural University of Brazil explored the intricate relationship between cosmic ray flux, sea surface temperatures, and rainfall during the Mediterranean storm 'Daniel.'

Cosmic rays, primarily composed of protons and electrons, travel through space at nearly the speed of light and can promote cloud formation by increasing the number of condensation nuclei in the atmosphere. This interaction leads to more intense rainfall, as observed during the storm that wreaked havoc in both Greece and Libya. The study found a strong correlation between cosmic ray activity and extreme rainfall, suggesting that these space phenomena played a crucial role in the storm's severity.

The Implications of Cosmic Rays on Future Weather Events

The research highlighted that cosmic rays contributed significantly to the rainfall in Libya, accounting for approximately 33.71% of the precipitation, while sea surface temperatures were responsible for 65.96%. In contrast, in Greece, cosmic rays had a 60.52% impact on rainfall. This indicates that while both factors are important, their influence varies by region. As climate change continues to exacerbate extreme weather events, understanding the role of cosmic rays is increasingly vital.

Experts like Ronabson Cardoso Fernandes emphasize that cosmic rays, influenced by solar activity rather than human-induced climate change, could intensify future storms globally. The study advocates for the inclusion of cosmic ray data in weather forecasting models to better predict and manage extreme weather events. This research not only enhances our understanding of weather patterns but also underscores the complex interplay between cosmic forces and terrestrial weather, highlighting the need for comprehensive climate models that account for these additional variables.

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Refs: | Aljazeera |

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