The collapse of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement marks a significant shift in Israeli-Syrian relations, potentially leading to increased military tensions in the region.
The abandonment of Syrian military positions highlights the instability within Syria, particularly following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad's regime.
Israel's decision to occupy the Mount Hermon area may provoke responses from Syrian opposition forces and could escalate conflicts in the Golan Heights.
The role of UNDOF in monitoring the ceasefire and disengagement has been undermined by the recent developments, raising concerns about regional security.
The situation in the Golan Heights may escalate into military confrontations as Israel solidifies its control over the area.
Increased military activity from both Israeli and Syrian opposition forces could lead to further destabilization in the region.
The international community may respond with diplomatic efforts to restore peace and address the violations of the disengagement agreement.
Future negotiations between Israel and Syria could become more complex due to the current political landscape in Syria.
On December 8, 2024, Israel announced the collapse of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement with Syria, citing the abandonment of positions by Syrian soldiers as a key factor. This agreement, originally established to separate military forces following the October 1973 war, included the creation of buffer zones monitored by the United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF). Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel would not permit hostile forces near its borders and declared the Israeli army would take control of the area around Mount Hermon, which has been under Israeli control for nearly 50 years. The agreement had been a crucial element in maintaining a fragile peace between the two nations, but ongoing violations and the recent political upheaval in Syria have led to its termination.
