The ceasefire agreement represents a significant diplomatic effort to stabilize the volatile border region between Israel and Lebanon, highlighting the role of international mediators like the U.S. and France.
Hezbollah's readiness to engage militarily underscores the ongoing tensions and the potential for renewed conflict despite the ceasefire agreement.
The gradual return of displaced persons indicates a desire for normalcy in southern Lebanon, but ongoing Israeli military presence poses challenges to this process.
If the ceasefire is upheld, it could lead to a more stable situation in southern Lebanon, allowing for humanitarian efforts and rebuilding in affected areas.
However, if violations occur, it may trigger renewed hostilities, complicating the already fragile security situation in the region.
The deployment of additional Lebanese troops could deter Israeli actions but may also escalate tensions if perceived as a threat by Israel.
Israel has threatened to enforce a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon by force, while Hezbollah maintains a vigilant stance, keeping its fighters ready for action. The ceasefire agreement, mediated by the United States and France, began implementation on November 27, 2024, and is expected to be completed within 60 days. Israeli army spokesman Daniel Hagari stated that any violation of the ceasefire will be met with military action, emphasizing the army's readiness to respond to threats in southern Lebanon.
The agreement restricts armed presence in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese army and international forces (UNIFIL), while Israeli forces have been ordered to prevent movement in certain areas during the night. The Israeli military has reported killing saboteurs and conducting operations against Hezbollah's capabilities, which they claim have been significantly diminished over the course of recent conflicts.
In response, Hezbollah has declared its fighters will remain on alert to defend Lebanon's sovereignty, citing significant Israeli military losses during recent confrontations. The Lebanese army is also mobilizing to strengthen its presence in the south, with plans to deploy 10,000 soldiers as part of the agreement's implementation. Meanwhile, displaced individuals are beginning to return to their homes, although Israeli forces continue to pose a threat to their safe return.
