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Iran's Miscalculation: Could Missile Attack on Israel Ignite a Regional War?

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Tensions escalate as Iran's missile attack on Israel raises fears of a regional conflict, with expert insights on the implications of U.S. support and potential military responses.

Potential Regional War Looms Following Iranian Missile Attack on Israel

In a startling escalation of tensions in the Middle East, Iran launched a missile attack on Israel, prompting concerns of a potential regional war. Renowned investigative journalist Ronen Bergman, writing for Yedioth Ahronoth, argues that Iran has miscalculated the political and military dynamics in Israel, believing that the Israeli response would be limited. However, the Israeli government perceives the attack as an unjustified 'declaration of war,' indicating that their retaliation may be significant and backed by the United States.

Bergman asserts that Iran's decision to attack was not only unprovoked but also contradicts their previous commitments to avoid large-scale conflict, especially after the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. He suggests that internal divisions within the Iranian regime may have influenced this sudden aggression, reflecting a desperate need to respond to perceived slights without inviting overwhelming retaliation from Israel.

The journalist speculates that Tehran's leadership may have underestimated the resolve of the Israeli government, which is now poised to respond decisively, potentially reshaping the regional order. Israel's military strategy may include not just retaliatory strikes but a broader offensive that could involve multiple fronts across the Middle East.

U.S. Support as a Game Changer

Bergman highlights the critical role of U.S. support in this evolving conflict. He notes that Israel is likely to seek both defensive and offensive assistance from the United States, which could significantly alter the landscape of the confrontation. This support comes at a time when Israel aims to build a strong international coalition to counter the Iranian threat, with the potential for the conflict to escalate beyond traditional borders.

The investigative journalist warns that while the immediate damage from the Iranian attack may be symbolic, Israel is determined to ensure that this aggression does not go unanswered. The Netanyahu government is reportedly preparing for a robust response, one that could deter Iran in the long term and stabilize the region.

The Path Forward: Limited Response or Full-Scale War?

As tensions mount, the Israeli leadership faces a critical decision: whether to pursue a limited military response that temporarily deters Iran or to embark on a more extensive operation aimed at establishing a new order in the Middle East. Bergman emphasizes that the outcome of this conflict could significantly impact the geopolitical landscape, with far-reaching consequences for regional stability.

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