The Iranian Khaybar missile, with a range of 2,000 kilometers, poses a significant threat to Israel as tensions escalate following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. Israeli military analyst Ron Ben Yishai suggests that Iran's response will be measured to avoid provoking a devastating reaction from Israel and the U.S.-led coalition. Yishai argues that despite Iran's impressive missile capabilities, the country's weaknesses will limit its response, as a devastating strike could lead to severe retaliation from Israel, including potential destruction of Iran's oil industry and military infrastructure.
Yishai explains that Iran's planned retaliation is not just about revenge but also a necessity to maintain credibility among its citizens. The failure of previous attacks has pressured Iran to launch a calculated response, possibly involving Khaybar missiles aimed at military targets in Israel. However, the analyst believes that Iran will avoid significant damage to civilian infrastructure to prevent a catastrophic Israeli counterattack.
Furthermore, the role of Hezbollah in this conflict is under scrutiny. Yishai posits that Hezbollah may not fully engage in a retaliatory strike, as Iran seeks to conserve its capabilities for a more critical future confrontation, particularly concerning its nuclear facilities. The complex dynamics of regional politics and military capabilities will play a crucial role in shaping the unfolding situation.
- The Iranian Khaybar missile represents a new level of military capability for Tehran, enabling it to strike targets deep within Israel. This development has raised alarms within Israeli military circles, prompting a reassessment of defense strategies. Analysts believe that the upcoming Iranian response will be carefully calibrated, taking into account the potential for international backlash and the need to maintain internal stability within Iran. The geopolitical landscape surrounding this conflict is further complicated by the involvement of various regional actors, including Hezbollah, which has historically served as Iran's proxy in Lebanon. The strategic decisions made by both Iran and Hezbollah in the wake of Haniyeh's assassination will significantly influence the balance of power in the region. As tensions continue to rise, the international community watches closely, aware that any miscalculation could lead to a broader conflict.
