Assassination of Hassan Nasrallah Marks a Turning Point for Hezbollah
The assassination of Hezbollah's Secretary-General, Hassan Nasrallah, on September 27, 2024, is seen as a pivotal moment in the party's history. According to Sam Heller, an American researcher at the Century Foundation, Nasrallah's death signifies the 'end of an era' for Hezbollah, which now faces a critical juncture regarding its military capabilities and political influence. Since his leadership began in 1992, Nasrallah was a key figure in Hezbollah's confrontations with Israel, and his absence is expected to alter the party's trajectory significantly.
Escalating Conflict and Israeli Strikes
The recent escalation of violence between Hezbollah and Israel has resulted in heavy casualties and destruction. Following a series of Israeli airstrikes targeting Hezbollah leaders and infrastructure, including a catastrophic operation that left 39 dead and thousands wounded, the situation has intensified. Israeli military actions have reportedly killed at least 1,580 individuals, with significant damage to Hezbollah strongholds in southern Lebanon. Despite this, Hezbollah continues to retaliate with rocket fire into Israeli territories, maintaining its military posture even amidst severe losses.
Challenges Ahead for Hezbollah
In the wake of Nasrallah's assassination, Hezbollah has not designated a successor, leading to a collective leadership approach. The party's Shura Council is currently navigating internal and external pressures, particularly calls for disarmament and the election of a new president in Lebanon, a position that has been vacant for two years. Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati and other political leaders emphasize that the state's control over all territories, including southern Lebanon, must be restored. Analysts warn that efforts to politically marginalize Hezbollah could spark further conflict within Lebanon, complicating the already tense situation.
