Daily Reports
Political Confusion in the French Legislative Elections
The upcoming French legislative elections have become a hotbed of confusion and political maneuvering, particularly among right-wing candidates. The fourth district of Paris exemplifies this turmoil, where the current mayor of the 17th arrondissement, Geoffroy Boulard, and Arnaud Dassier, co-founder of the French influence agency Avisa Partners, are both vying for the Republican label. Boulard uses a classic 'LR' logo, while Dassier opts for 'Republicans on the right – supported by the National Rally'. This has led to a muddled political landscape, reflecting the broader disarray within the Republican party.
The Impact of a Fractured Right-Wing
The Republican party is deeply divided following their leader Éric Ciotti's decision to ally with the National Rally, against the wishes of many elected officials. This has resulted in four distinct tendencies within the party: the LR-RN alliance, a more moderate faction led by Senator Roger Karoutchi, the outgoing deputy Philippe Juvin's faction that has a non-aggression pact with the presidential majority, and Horizons, the party of Édouard Philippe. This fragmentation is mirrored in the election posters, which range from displaying multiple micro-party logos to having no logos at all, adding to voter confusion.
Legislative Elections Amidst Political Turmoil
More than 49.3 million French voters will head to the polls in 577 constituencies on June 30 and July 7. The dissolution pronounced by the President of the Republic has led to a short campaign period, complicating matters for smaller parties. The Interior Ministry has published official lists, revealing a significant drop in candidates from previous years. The complexity of alliances, especially on the left with the New Popular Front and on the right with the Republican and National Rally alliance, further complicates the electoral landscape. Notable figures like Jean-Louis Bourlanges and Olivier Dussopt have opted out of the race, while others, including Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, aim to retain their seats.
- The political confusion is not limited to the right-wing candidates. On the left, several outgoing deputies began campaigning under the New Popular Front label before being ousted by La France Insoumise (LFI). This has led to disputes over the use of logos and campaign materials, adding to the overall disarray.
- The short campaign period has made it challenging for smaller parties to mobilize their electoral machinery. This has resulted in a significant drop in the number of candidates compared to previous elections. The Interior Ministry's official lists show 4,011 candidates in the running, down from 7,877 in 2017.
- The dissolution of the National Assembly by the President has added another layer of complexity to the elections. The shortened campaign period has forced candidates to submit their candidacies quickly, leading to a rush of last-minute alliances and strategic decisions.
- Notable political figures have decided not to run in this election, citing various reasons. Jean-Louis Bourlanges, president of the Foreign Affairs Committee, and Olivier Dussopt, former Minister of Labor, have both announced their withdrawal. On the other hand, several ministers, including Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, are seeking to retain their seats.
