Joe Biden's Possible Withdrawal from 2024 Election: Implications and Alternatives
Recent reports suggest that US President Joe Biden is considering withdrawing from the 2024 presidential election campaign, following a lackluster performance in a debate against former President Donald Trump. Despite the White House's immediate denial of such claims, the speculation has sparked significant discussions within the Democratic Party.
Potential Impact on the Democratic Party
If Biden decides to withdraw, the Democratic Party would face a unique situation. Biden, having secured a landslide victory in the primaries, holds almost all delegate votes at the party convention. Political scientist Hans Noel from Georgetown University explains that there is no set procedure for the leading candidate to step down, which would leave the approximately 3,900 delegates to vote freely. Elaine Kamarck, a member of the party's Constitution Committee, notes that Biden's withdrawal speech would likely include a recommendation for a successor, which, while not binding, would influence the delegates' decision.
Financial Considerations and Candidates to Watch
Biden's campaign has amassed around $230 million in donations, with supporting groups raising an additional $160 million. If Biden withdraws, his team would need to decide how to reallocate these funds. One option is to transfer the money to political action committees. Another is to convince donors to release the funds for another candidate. Vice President Kamala Harris, already part of the campaign, could potentially access these donations. Harris leads a snap poll with 39% support as Biden's potential successor, followed by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 18% and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 10%.
Other Potential Candidates
In addition to Harris, other Democratic politicians are being considered. Gavin Newsom, known for his progressive policies in California, and Gretchen Whitmer, the Governor of Michigan, both have significant support. Newsom has become a rising star within the party, while Whitmer's leadership in a crucial swing state makes her a strong contender. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, another potential candidate, has gained recognition for his centrist policies and effective governance. Despite the speculation, Shapiro and Whitmer have expressed their support for Biden, emphasizing the need for party unity.
- Despite the rumors, Biden continues to maintain a busy schedule. He plans to secure support from Democratic governors and has several campaign appearances lined up, including in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Biden's recent conversation with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer further underscores his ongoing commitment to his campaign.
- The debate performance has undoubtedly raised concerns about Biden's health and ability to lead. However, the Democratic Party remains focused on ensuring a strong candidate is in place for the 2024 election, whether it be Biden or a successor.
