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Azerbaijan and Turkey: Navigating Diplomatic Waters Amid Gaza Conflict

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Explore the evolving diplomatic relationship between Azerbaijan and Turkey as they navigate the complexities of the Gaza conflict, highlighting their strategic ties with Israel and the implications for regional stability.

Azerbaijan's Strategic Position Amid Regional Turmoil

In a significant diplomatic meeting, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and Azerbaijani counterpart Jeyhun Bayramov discussed the evolving geopolitical landscape, emphasizing the deep-rooted ties between Turkey and Azerbaijan. The two nations share historical, cultural, and linguistic connections, which they reaffirmed during the discussions. Fidan highlighted that their solidarity remains steadfast, regardless of the circumstances.

The ongoing conflict in Gaza was a focal point of their talks, reflecting the complex relationship between Azerbaijan and Israel. In recent years, Azerbaijan has strengthened its ties with Israel, becoming a key player in the region, especially with its military cooperation that played a pivotal role during the Second Karabakh War. Experts note that Israel has supplied approximately 70% of Azerbaijan's military arsenal between 2016 and 2020, which has significantly bolstered Azerbaijan's defense capabilities against Armenia.

Diverging Responses to the Gaza Conflict

Despite Azerbaijan's growing relationship with Israel, the nation has maintained a cautious stance amid the ongoing violence in Gaza. While the Azerbaijani government has issued statements calling for peace, it refrains from taking substantial actions against Israel, reflecting its strategic interests, especially in energy supplies. Azerbaijan has become a crucial energy provider for Israel, supplying around 40% of its energy needs post-Ukraine war.

In contrast, Turkey has adopted a more aggressive stance against Israeli actions, with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan openly condemning Israel's military operations in Gaza. Ankara has suspended energy cooperation and imposed trade restrictions on Israel, showcasing a stark difference in diplomatic approaches between the two nations. This divergence has raised questions about the potential impact on Turkish-Azerbaijani relations, as both countries navigate their unique geopolitical landscapes while trying to maintain their alliance.

  • The relationship between Azerbaijan and Israel extends beyond military cooperation, encompassing economic ties and intelligence sharing. Azerbaijan's strategic location has made it a valuable ally for Israel, particularly in countering Iranian influence in the region. However, despite Azerbaijan's economic dependence on Israel, public sentiment in Azerbaijan leans towards supporting the Palestinian cause, creating a complex dynamic for the government. Political analysts suggest that while Turkey and Azerbaijan share a close historical bond, the ongoing conflict in Gaza may test their relationship. The Azerbaijani government’s cautious approach towards Israel is influenced by its reliance on military support and energy cooperation, which complicates its ability to align fully with Turkey's more aggressive stance against Israeli actions. Should regional tensions escalate further, Azerbaijan may face pressure to choose between its allies, likely leaning towards Turkey due to their historical connections.
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